The FPL Preview: GW27

Another week. another sports update from the one and only Euan Morris

Euan Morris
4th March 2021
Twitter @davidhickman14
The smart transfers to make in the upcoming period of double and blank gameweeks.
Manchester City

Manchester City, along with Southampton, are the only teams to have a double gameweek this week. City host Manchester United and Southampton at the Etihad and are in blistering form, winning the last 20 games in a row in all competitions.

It’s always difficult to predict who will start due to the phenomena in the fantasy football world of ‘Pep Roulette’. This was evident in GW26, after Guardiola opted to rest Cancelo after stating in his press conference before the West Ham game “If tomorrow we were to play another game he would be ready to play”. However, this makes Cancelo even more likely to start both fixtures in GW27. Cancelo effectively plays as a midfielder for Manchester City, and is creating an impressive 2.23 per 90 this season, with only Luke Shaw bettering this. The Portuguese international is also top amongst defenders for expected goal involvement, with an xGI of 5.50 this season, highlighting how dangerous he is going forward.

Burnley v Arsenal

Arsenal have turned a corner in recent months under Arteta, winning 7 out of their last 12 games in the league, scoring 22 goals in this period (3rd highest). Available at just £5.2m, Bukayo Saka is a steal. In this period, only Aubameyang and Lacazette have a higher xGI than Saka in the Arsenal team, but both are significantly more expensive than Saka. Arsenal are one of the few teams who have a fixture in gameweek 29 against West Ham, so it is worth prioritising Arsenal players for the upcoming fixtures.

Burnley will be low on confidence after a 4-0 thrashing against Spurs at the weekend, so investing in Arsenal assets could pay big dividends. Burnley have really struggled to find the net this season and have scored only 18 times (2nd fewest), so Kieran Tierney could also be a great option at £5.2m. Since Arsenal's turnaround in form, he has created a very impressive 1.74 chances per 90, with only Luke Shaw and Trent Alexander-Arnold bettering this for defenders.

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